Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#65
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#98
Pace76.8#25
Improvement-2.3#268

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#58
Improvement-2.5#275

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#97
Improvement+0.1#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 205   UC Santa Barbara W 100-72 88%     1 - 0 +22.7 +21.3 +0.0
  Nov 15, 2012 174   @ Drexel W 86-84 OT 68%     2 - 0 +4.7 +3.5 +1.0
  Nov 18, 2012 283   Delaware St. W 87-48 95%     3 - 0 +28.3 +3.6 +22.4
  Nov 20, 2012 335   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-58 98%     4 - 0 +15.5 +13.9 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2012 167   UAB W 77-65 77%     5 - 0 +12.0 -9.8 +19.4
  Nov 24, 2012 125   Northwestern L 69-72 OT 68%     5 - 1 -0.3 -7.3 +7.3
  Dec 01, 2012 1   @ Louisville L 66-69 7%     5 - 2 +21.2 +10.7 +10.4
  Dec 04, 2012 89   Wyoming L 67-81 70%     5 - 3 -11.8 -2.0 -10.2
  Dec 08, 2012 147   Western Michigan W 85-63 82%     6 - 3 +19.9 +12.8 +7.5
  Dec 16, 2012 211   Morgan St. W 87-68 89%     7 - 3 +13.3 +2.8 +8.4
  Dec 19, 2012 67   @ Dayton W 74-73 38%     8 - 3 +11.7 -0.5 +12.1
  Dec 22, 2012 314   Austin Peay W 83-57 96%     9 - 3 +12.8 -2.4 +14.1
  Dec 30, 2012 96   @ Indiana St. L 75-77 48%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +6.2 +6.6 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2013 15   Creighton L 72-79 36%     9 - 5 0 - 2 +4.3 +3.1 +1.0
  Jan 05, 2013 64   Northern Iowa L 60-70 62%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -5.5 -7.6 +1.8
  Jan 08, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. L 55-62 72%     9 - 7 0 - 4 -5.4 -13.2 +7.2
  Jan 12, 2013 118   Drake L 77-82 77%     9 - 8 0 - 5 -5.0 -4.0 -0.6
  Jan 16, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. L 62-74 25%     9 - 9 0 - 6 +2.9 -3.2 +6.3
  Jan 20, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois W 70-56 66%     10 - 9 1 - 6 +17.5 +3.3 +15.2
  Jan 23, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 60-58 72%     11 - 9 2 - 6 +3.7 -11.8 +15.4
  Jan 26, 2013 79   Evansville W 67-62 68%     12 - 9 3 - 6 +7.8 -2.1 +9.9
  Jan 29, 2013 159   @ Bradley L 77-83 65%     12 - 10 3 - 7 -2.2 +1.3 -3.2
  Feb 02, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 83-47 84%     13 - 10 4 - 7 +33.0 +12.3 +22.6
  Feb 06, 2013 118   @ Drake W 94-86 55%     14 - 10 5 - 7 +14.5 +12.7 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2013 15   @ Creighton W 75-72 17%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +20.8 +10.5 +10.4
  Feb 13, 2013 159   Bradley W 79-59 83%     16 - 10 7 - 7 +17.3 +9.2 +9.2
  Feb 17, 2013 34   Wichita St. L 67-68 47%     16 - 11 7 - 8 +7.4 +0.8 +6.5
  Feb 20, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 62-79 44%     16 - 12 7 - 9 -7.7 -6.5 -1.0
  Feb 23, 2013 116   @ Utah St. L 71-80 54%     16 - 13 -2.3 -3.7 +1.7
  Feb 27, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 86-50 88%     17 - 13 8 - 9 +31.2 +15.4 +18.2
  Mar 02, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa L 72-80 37%     17 - 14 8 - 10 +3.0 +8.1 -5.5
  Mar 08, 2013 64   Northern Iowa W 73-65 50%     18 - 14 +15.7 +4.7 +11.0
  Mar 09, 2013 34   Wichita St. L 51-66 35%     18 - 15 -3.4 -10.4 +5.6
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%